Kalshi sports edges.
Props.cash consensus μ graded against Kalshi bucket ladders.
Only +10¢ edges surface here.
Bankroll ring-fence · 20%
Sports free
$82.71
Sports used
$0.00
Weather sleeve
$330.83
$414
Bankroll
$414
Cash on Kalshi
2
Open sports positions
Session today · realized
$+0.00
Realized P&L
$4.78
Staked
-1.6%
of bankroll
$12
Max stake (4%)
$303
Bankroll
OFF
Stop-loss
stop-loss armed at -10%
Edges 0 · sorted by edge
Quiet board.
No Kalshi sports buckets crossed +10¢ of edge in the last scan.
When a player-prop ladder drifts off our consensus μ, it'll land here.
When a player-prop ladder drifts off our consensus μ, it'll land here.
Game markets moneyline · spread · total
No game-market edges.
Kalshi's moneyline/spread/total ladders are within 8¢ of the 10-book consensus.
CLV closing line value
No resolved picks yet.
CLV unlocks once markets close and
kalshi_quote_history has data around lock.
Phi calibration dynamic · NegBin dispersion
No overrides yet.
Nightly refit writes here after ≥5 settled picks per (sport, stat, μ-band).
Currently scanner uses the hardcoded prior table.
Recent picks μ_book → μ_blend diagnostics
| Fired | Pick | μ book | μ struct | μ blend | share | p_true | stake | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 00:14 | NBA
Dillon Brooks
Points · 10+ |
17.1 | 15.8 (n=10) | 17.1 | 0% | 90.7% | $5 | open |
| 04-16 01:17 | NBA
ORL@PHI
moneyline · 0+ |
— | — (n=0) | 0.0 | 0% | 40.6% | $4 | open |
| 04-15 16:23 | NBA
TOR@CLE
moneyline · 0+ |
— | — (n=0) | 0.0 | 0% | 74.6% | $10 | open |
| 04-15 14:40 | NBA
Brook Lopez
Blocks · 1+ |
— | — (n=0) | 1.4 | 0% | 72.5% | $11 | open |
| 04-15 12:05 | NBA
John Collins
Rebounds · 8+ |
— | — (n=0) | 5.2 | 0% | 20.4% | $2 | open |
| 04-15 03:00 | NBA
POR@PHX
moneyline · 0+ |
— | — (n=0) | 0.0 | 0% | 51.5% | $4 | open |
| 04-15 02:40 | NBA
POR@PHX
moneyline · 0+ |
— | — (n=0) | 0.0 | 0% | 39.1% | $2 | open |
| 04-15 01:38 | NBA
MIA@CHA
moneyline · 0+ |
— | — (n=0) | 0.0 | 0% | 84.3% | $8 | open |
| 04-15 01:18 | NBA
MIA@CHA
moneyline · 0+ |
— | — (n=0) | 0.0 | 0% | 33.0% | $2 | open |
| 04-14 19:16 | NBA
Jalen Green
Points · 15+ |
— | — (n=0) | 19.0 | 0% | 74.5% | $2 | open |
| 04-14 17:54 | NBA
Coby White
Points · 10+ |
— | — (n=0) | 13.9 | 0% | 77.6% | $6 | open |
| 04-14 15:48 | NBA
Mark Williams
Rebounds · 4+ |
— | — (n=0) | 9.1 | 0% | 94.6% | $10 | open |
| 04-14 13:48 | NBA
Devin Booker
Assists · 8+ |
— | — (n=0) | 6.4 | 0% | 32.3% | $1 | open |
| 04-14 13:38 | NBA
Kel'el Ware
Rebounds · 10+ |
— | — (n=0) | 8.8 | 0% | 38.5% | $1 | open |
| 04-14 13:27 | NBA
Kel'el Ware
Rebounds · 8+ |
— | — (n=0) | 8.8 | 0% | 59.2% | $3 | open |
| 04-14 13:17 | NBA
Kel'el Ware
Rebounds · 7+ |
— | — (n=0) | 8.8 | 0% | 69.8% | $4 | open |
| 04-14 13:06 | NBA
Kel'el Ware
Rebounds · 6+ |
— | — (n=0) | 7.8 | 0% | 71.2% | $1 | open |
| 04-14 12:24 | NBA
Darius Garland
Assists · 8+ |
— | — (n=0) | 7.0 | 0% | 39.3% | $2 | open |
| 04-14 10:51 | NBA
Stephen Curry
Assists · 6+ |
— | — (n=0) | 5.1 | 0% | 39.9% | $1 | open |